I think we can safely say we are now almost four years into the most disrespected bull market in history, to borrow a phrase from Alexander Green. In a recent roundtable in The Wall Street Journal, the moderator opened the discussion by saying, “It’s been another very difficult year for investors.” Um, really? U.S. stocks were up over 16% in 2012, and international equities did even better. If that’s a difficult year, I can’t wait for an easy one.
Indeed, last year was much kinder to investors than 2011, when the Complete Couch Potato returned just 2.36% and most of my other model portfolios did worse. In 2012, all of the model portfolios delivered remarkably similar performance, with returns between 8% and 9%.
The data below were gathered from fund websites whenever available: otherwise I used Morningstar. Returns for US-listed funds are expressed in Canadian dollars. Consider these unofficial results: when I have all the necessary data I will update the long-term Couch Potato performance report card. [Note: The updated report card is now available .]
Global Couch Potato (Option 1) |
|
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite (XIC) |
6.9% |
iShares MSCI World (XWD) |
13.5% |
iShares DEX Universe Bond (XBB) |
3.3% |
|
8.1% |
|
|
Global Couch Potato (Option 2) |
|
TD Canadian Index – e (TDB900) |
6.9% |
TD US Index – e (TDB902) |
12.6% |
TD International Index – e (TDB911) |
15.5% |
TD Canadian Bond Index – e (TDB909) |
3.1% |
|
8.2% |
|
|
Global Couch Potato (Option 3) |
|
RBC Canadian Index (RBF556) |
6.4% |
RBC US Index (RBF557) |
11.8% |
RBC International Index (RBF559) |
16.4% |
TD Canadian Bond Index – I (TDB966) |
2.8% |
|
8.0% |
|
|
Complete Couch Potato |
|
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite (XIC) |
6.9% |
Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) |
13.4% |
Vanguard Total International Stock (VXUS) |
15.2% |
BMO Equal Weight REITs (ZRE) |
18.1% |
iShares DEX Real Return Bond (XRB) |
2.4% |
iShares DEX Universe Bond (XBB) |
3.3% |
|
8.7% |
|
|
Yield-Hungry Couch Potato |
|
iShares S&P/TSX Cdn Div Aristocrats (CDZ) |
9.0% |
iShares DJ Canada Select Dividend (XDV) |
8.8% |
iShares Global Monthly Adv Dividend (CYH) |
9.5% |
BMO Equal Weight REITs (ZRE) |
18.1% |
iShares S&P/TSX Preferred Stock (XPF) |
11.1% |
iShares DEX HYBrid Bond (XHB) |
8.7% |
iShares Advantaged US High-Yield Bond (CHB) |
13.0% |
iShares Advantaged Canadian Bond (CAB) |
3.0% |
|
8.5% |
|
|
Über-Tuber |
|
iShares Canadian Fundamental (CRQ) |
9.8% |
iShares S&P/TSX SmallCap (XCS) |
-2.6% |
Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) |
13.4% |
Vanguard Small Cap Value (VBR) |
15.7% |
iShares MSCI EAFE Value (EFV) |
14.5% |
iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap (SCZ) |
16.8% |
Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO) |
15.8% |
SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate (RWO) |
21.9% |
BMO Mid Federal Bond (ZFM) |
2.8% |
BMO Short Corporate Bond (ZCS) |
3.6% |
|
9.0% |
|
|